• "Your Life, Your Community, Your Way"

Email To A Friend

  • submit
  • community
  • news
  • weather
  • photos
  • video
  • classifieds
  • events
  • text alerts

Orange County Story



It’s Official: U.S. Is In Recession

Credit: AP Online

Tweet This! http://mync.com/site/20471/
WASHINGTON --

The U.S. economy has been in a recession since December 2007, the National Bureau of Economic Research said Monday.

The NBER - a private, nonprofit research organization - said its group of academic economists who determine business cycles met and decided that the U.S. recession began last December.

By one benchmark, a recession occurs whenever the gross domestic product, the total output of goods and services, declines for two consecutive quarters. The GDP turned negative in the July-September quarter of this year, and many economists believe it is falling in the current quarter at an even sharper rate.

But the NBER's dating committee uses broader and more precise measures, including employment data. In a news release, the group said its cycle dating committee held a telephone conference call on Friday and made the determination on when the recession began.

The White House commented on the news that a second downturn has officially begun on President George W. Bush's watch without ever actually using the word "recession," a term the president and his aides have repeatedly avoided. Instead, spokesman Tony Fratto remarked upon the fact that NBER "determines the start and end dates of business cycles."

"What's important is what is being done about it," Fratto said. "The most important things we can do for the economy right now are to return the financial and credit markets to normal, and to continue to make progress in housing, and that's where we'll continue to focus."

Many economists believe the current downturn will be the most severe since the 1981-82 recession. The country is being battered by the most severe financial crisis since the 1930s as banks struggle to deal with billions of dollars in loan losses.

The Bush administration won approval from Congress on Oct. 3 for a $700 billion rescue package for the financial system. Bush said in an interview with ABC's "World News" to be aired Monday that he would support additional intervention if necessary to end the recession.

"I'm sorry it's happening, of course," Bush said, referring to a global financial crisis that has eliminated millions of jobs and damaged retirement accounts.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Monday that further interest rate cuts were possible but he cautioned that there were limits to how much such action will be able to revive an economy expected to remain weak well into next year.

"Although further reductions ... are certainly feasible, at this point the scope for using conventional interest rate policies to support the economy is obviously limited," Bernanke said in a speech to business executives in Austin, Texas. The Fed is widely expected to cut a key interest rate when officials next meet on Dec. 15-16.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson also was scheduled to give a speech Monday providing an update on how the government's rescue efforts are working to deal with the economic distress.

Two new reports provided a grim snapshot of how steep the economic slump is becoming. The Commerce Department reported Monday that construction spending fell by a larger-than-expected 1.2 percent in October, while the Institute for Supply Management said its gauge of manufacturing activity dropped to a 26-year low in November.

The GDP contracted by 0.2 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2007, but that that drop was followed growth in the first two quarters of this year, partially boosted by the distribution of millions of economic stimulus payments.

However, employment, one of the measurements tracked by the NBER, has been falling since January.

The NBER decision means that the economic expansion lasted from November 2001 until December 2007. Economic expansions peak and recessions begin in the same month, according to the NBER's dating methods. Founded in 1920, the NBER has more than 1,000 university professors and researchers who act as bureau associates, studying how the economy works.

The decision on the recession means that during the eight years that Bush has been in office, the country has seen two recessions. The first downturn lasted from March 2001 until November of that year.

 

Comments

  • By Mary N. on 02/17 01:31 AM

    Beware of government figures having to do with recession. The agencies that put out these numbers answer to people who get kicked out of office if there's too much bad news. This is partially why the unemployment numbers are totally cooked these days. --- Mary N. Charlotte homes sale

  • By Elephant Ear on 12/15 07:05 PM

    I looked at my IRA today, and thankfully its still getting smaller and smaller. Wait a minute. That's what's supposed to happen, right?

  • By Bill the Cat on 12/06 10:59 AM

    Grrrr. YAAAH! wfff, bleh!

  • By Conan on 12/06 10:57 AM

    Another great man said when asked what was best in life: "Crushing your enemies, seeing them driven before you. Hearing the lamentations of the Women and Children."

  • By Ben Franklin on 12/06 10:56 AM

    A great man once said, "a revolution is good for a country every now and then." Another great man said, "Adrian!!", and then beat up Apollo Creed.

  • By Condi on 12/06 10:53 AM

    Republicans aren't communists. They're fascists. It's funny, but the majority of Americans are really centrists: they believe in some social services, but also personal responsibility. They believe in a strong defense, but not in invading countries. We've been made to choose sides in the last 8 years, dividing up the country because of the two party system. The party's are the problem people. They are ones wrecking this country.

  • By Bushy on 12/06 08:17 AM

    Man, this sucks. It used to be just half of America was mad at me - you know, the hippie liberal college professors. But now my own people think I wrecked America too. Now ALL of America is wrong!

  • By GWB on 12/06 08:13 AM

    I didn't say that we weren't in a "recession", I said that we weren't in a "gre-session" Totally different.

  • By dhani on 12/05 09:14 AM

    Gee, thanks Republicans.

  • By James the Plumber on 12/02 08:27 PM

    It seems that many of the republicans love their party more than they love our country. Now that the election is over, we should all stand WITH the President and get this country fixed. Any less should be treason.

  • By D Cheney on 12/02 08:25 PM

    Now that Barak Obama is about to gain power, I expect all republicans to do whatever they can to wreck his presidency. This will include calling for an investigation for any and all things, calling for impeachment, etc. Some might call it treason, but I just call it good politics!

  • By George W Bush on 12/02 08:22 PM

    So, do you remember last month when I said that America wasn't in a recession? I had my fingers crossed behind my back! Wow America. I can't believe you let me put the country in 10 trillion dollars of debt; socialize the banks, auto makers, savings and loans; start a war with a military tactic to give the executive absolute power; create a prison where people are put but never tried; and invade a sovereign nation. And the funny part is, we called the democrats socialists!

Post A Comment

Commenting is not available in this section entry.
Deal of the Day Coming Soon!
Follow Us!
MyNC Twitter
MyNC Facebook